It’s the Negative Partisanship, Stupid

  1. The national electorate is not static. Each election brings out different voters.
  2. Voters are primarily motivated by “negative partisanship,” i.e. an urgent desire to defeat the other party.
  3. Election results therefore are determined not, as widely supposed, by the switch of swing voters from one party to the other, but by “the entrance (and exit) of partisan voters who are activated or deactivated by negative partisanship.”
  4. Negative partisanship helps the party out of power more than the party in power. Members of the party out of power become more motivated to vote; members of the party in power become complacent and less motivated to vote.
Congressperson Kenny Marchant, R-TX, specifically mentioned by Bitecofer as beatable in 2020. He has since chosen to retire.

--

--

--

Former Risk Manager at UC Berkeley, author of four books, ectomorphic introvert.

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Recommended from Medium

RNC night two continues with abuses of office and conspiracy theories

How should liberals respond to conservative talking points about the Women’s March?

A Modest Proposal: Let’s blame it on the Jews

Judgment Day! The Last Struggle of Communism!

The Inauguration of the Crypt-Keeper

This day in history

Is it Hypocritical for US Conservatives to Call Out Big Tech?

Calling All Blue 2020….

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Andy Goldblatt

Andy Goldblatt

Former Risk Manager at UC Berkeley, author of four books, ectomorphic introvert.

More from Medium

Hello America

ABOUT KIRU

goodbye Jim Carrey; hello Oscar Wilde

In Blood Stepped In So Far